Search

Keyword

# Laplace's Rule of Succession

Course Topic(s): Probability | Basic Probability, conditional probability

This is a short article on Laplace's rule of succession. The rule is derived in the context of a ball and urn model. Specifically, there are $$N + 1$$ urns and urn $$k$$ contains $$k$$ red and $$N - k$$ blue balls. An urn is chosen at random and then balls are selected at random from that urn. Laplace's rule is an approximation of the probability that the $$n + 1$$ ball is red given $$n$$ consecutive red balls.

### To rate this resource on a 1-5 scheme, click on the appropriate icosahedron:

 Current rating: 3 number of votes: 209 1 2 3 4 5

Subject classification(s): Elementary Probability | Probability | Statistics and Probability

Creator(s): Alexander Bogomolny

Contributor(s): Alexander Bogomolny

This resource was cataloged by Kyle Siegrist

Publisher:
Cut-the-knot

Resource copyright: Copyright Alexander Bogomolny. The HTML page can be accessed and linked to, but not copied or used in other works.

This review was published on September 14, 2012